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The Integration Dividend: How Connecting Climate, Environment, Peace and Security Multiplies Impact
Drawing on four years of implementation across Iraq, Nigeria, Somalia, Yemen and the Bay of Bengal, this paper sets out what integrated climate, environment, peace and security (CEPS) programming can deliver and how it can be achieved in practice. -
Non-State Armed Groups Operating in the Climate–Environment–Conflict Nexus: Recent Research Findings and Policy Responses
This paper distils how climate and environmental pressures interact with conflict dynamics and how climate change compounds pre-existing vulnerabilities and fragility in which NSAGs proliferate, how armed groups actively exploit climate-driven hardship to recruit and retain members and more. -
Impact Synthesis: Bay of Bengal Project
This impact synthesis draws on an outcome evaluation of the Bay of Bengal Maritime Dialogue (2022–2026) to assess how structured regional dialogue has advanced maritime security, environmental protection and conflict prevention. -
Impact Synthesis: Nigeria Project
This impact synthesis draws on an outcome evaluation of the project Multi-Level Approaches to Sustainable Peace in Nigeria's Middle Belt (2022–2026) to assess how climate-sensitive peace agreements have reduced conflict across Benue, Nasarawa, Plateau and Taraba states. -
Impact Synthesis: Yemen Project
This impact synthesis draws on an evaluation of the Environmental Pathways for Reconciliation (EPfR) project (late 2022 to September 2026) to assess how environmental and climate security concerns can serve as an entry point for conflict resolution and reconciliation. -
Impact Synthesis: Iraq Project
This impact synthesis draws on outcome harvesting over the 2022–2026 project period to assess how research, dialogue and mediation have strengthened Iraqi capacities to address the climate-conflict nexus. -
Impact Synthesis: Somalia Project
This impact synthesis draws on an outcome evaluation of the project Infrastructures for Peace and Environmental Peacebuilding in Hirshabelle and Galmudug States (2023–2026) to assess how integrating climate and environmental concerns into dialogue and mediation has supported conflict transformation. -
Climate Impact Profile: Dinder National Park, Sudan
Dinder National Park (DNP) is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, with risks compounded by environmental degradation, livelihood pressures and ongoing conflict. This profile provides an overview of observed and projected climate trends across Gedaref, Sennar and Blue Nile states for the near term (2020–39), medium term (2040–59) and long term (2060–79), under higher emissions (SSP3-7.0) and lower emissions (SSP1-2.6) scenarios, and examines their impacts across ecosystems, human health, livelihoods and displacement. -
Prioritising Conflict Prevention in Syria’s Recovery: Integrating Climate and Environment for Peace
A window for conflict-preventive recovery in Syria has opened, but climate change threatens to close it. The fall of the Assad regime in December 2024 has created a rare opportunity to rebuild Syria on more just and resilient foundations. Yet rising temperatures, deepening droughts and growing resource scarcity are not waiting for reconstruction plans to catch up. Unless climate and environmental realities are placed at the heart of recovery planning now, Syria risks entrenching pathways that deepen fragility rather than prevent conflict.
